{"id":166176,"date":"2026-10-27T07:03:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T15:03:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/2026\/10\/27\/when-will-alito-retire-nearly-6-million-says-its-a-question-worth-betting-on\/"},"modified":"2026-10-27T07:03:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T15:03:32","slug":"when-will-alito-retire-nearly-6-million-says-its-a-question-worth-betting-on","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/2026\/10\/27\/when-will-alito-retire-nearly-6-million-says-its-a-question-worth-betting-on\/","title":{"rendered":"When Will Alito Retire? Nearly $6 Million Says It\u2019s A Question Worth Betting On"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><u>Ed. note<\/u>: Welcome to our daily feature,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/abovethelaw.com\/tag\/quote-of-the-day\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Quote of the Day<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-large-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong>This is not a court that is reactionarily prudish to any sort of vice behavior. But it does involve this larger question around what we want to allow under law and as a society.<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-large-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em><em><strong>\u2014 <strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hklaw.com\/en\/professionals\/k\/kirschner-joshua\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Josh Kirschner<\/a>, a partner on Holland &amp; Knight\u2019s national gaming team, in comments given to <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bloomberglaw.com\/us-law-week\/bets-on-alito-show-supreme-court-tangled-in-prediction-markets\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bloomberg Law<\/a>, on the Supreme Court\u2019s unusual position as both a subject of prediction-market bets and a likely arbiter of how those markets are regulated. Bettors have wagered nearly $6 million on when Justice Samuel Alito might retire, while the court is weighing whether to take up a case over who regulates the platforms. Kirschner warned that delay could help prediction markets become \u201cmore ingrained in society\u201d and \u201ctoo big to fail, in a way.\u201d<\/em><\/strong><\/strong><\/em><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"150\" height=\"100\" src=\"https:\/\/abovethelaw.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Staci-Zaretsky.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-66762\" title=\"\"><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/abovethelaw.com\/author\/staci-zaretsky\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Staci Zaretsky<\/a> is the managing editor of Above the Law, where she\u2019s worked since 2011. She\u2019d love to hear from you, so please feel free to <a href=\"mailto:staci@abovethelaw.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">email<\/a> her with any tips, questions, comments, or critiques. You can follow her on <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/stacizaretsky.bsky.social\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Bluesky<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stacizaretsky\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">X\/Twitter<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.threads.net\/@stacizaretsky\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Threads<\/a>, or connect with her on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/staci-zaretsky\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">LinkedIn<\/a>.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/abovethelaw.com\/2026\/10\/when-will-alito-retire-nearly-6-million-says-its-a-question-worth-betting-on\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">When Will Alito Retire? Nearly $6 Million Says It\u2019s A Question Worth Betting On<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/abovethelaw.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Above the Law<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><u>Ed. note<\/u>: Welcome to our daily feature,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/abovethelaw.com\/tag\/quote-of-the-day\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Quote of the Day<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-large-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong>This is not a court that is reactionarily prudish to any sort of vice behavior. But it does involve this larger question around what we want to allow under law and as a society.<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-large-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em><em><strong>\u2014 <strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hklaw.com\/en\/professionals\/k\/kirschner-joshua\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Josh Kirschner<\/a>, a partner on Holland &amp; Knight\u2019s national gaming team, in comments given to <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bloomberglaw.com\/us-law-week\/bets-on-alito-show-supreme-court-tangled-in-prediction-markets\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bloomberg Law<\/a>, on the Supreme Court\u2019s unusual position as both a subject of prediction-market bets and a likely arbiter of how those markets are regulated. Bettors have wagered nearly $6 million on when Justice Samuel Alito might retire, while the court is weighing whether to take up a case over who regulates the platforms. Kirschner warned that delay could help prediction markets become \u201cmore ingrained in society\u201d and \u201ctoo big to fail, in a way.\u201d<\/em><\/strong><\/strong><\/em><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"150\" height=\"100\" src=\"https:\/\/abovethelaw.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Staci-Zaretsky.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-66762\" title=\"\"><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/abovethelaw.com\/author\/staci-zaretsky\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Staci Zaretsky<\/a> is the managing editor of Above the Law, where she\u2019s worked since 2011. She\u2019d love to hear from you, so please feel free to <a href=\"mailto:staci@abovethelaw.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">email<\/a> her with any tips, questions, comments, or critiques. You can follow her on <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/stacizaretsky.bsky.social\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Bluesky<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stacizaretsky\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">X\/Twitter<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.threads.net\/@stacizaretsky\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Threads<\/a>, or connect with her on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/staci-zaretsky\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">LinkedIn<\/a>.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/abovethelaw.com\/2026\/10\/when-will-alito-retire-nearly-6-million-says-its-a-question-worth-betting-on\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">When Will Alito Retire? Nearly $6 Million Says It\u2019s A Question Worth Betting On<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/abovethelaw.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Above the Law<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ed. note: Welcome to our daily feature,\u00a0Quote of the Day. This is not a court that is reactionarily prudish to any sort of vice behavior. But it does involve this larger question around what we want to allow under law and as a society. \u2014 Josh Kirschner, a partner on Holland &amp; Knight\u2019s national gaming [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":166104,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-166176","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-above_the_law"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166176","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=166176"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166176\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/166104"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=166176"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=166176"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xira.com\/p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=166176"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}